KHL · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Lada — Dynamo Moscow

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Model prediction for 18 October

Lada24%
Draw in regulation21%
Dynamo Moscow54%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Dynamo Moscow are clear favourites: 68% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 38%.

Why

  • Dynamo Moscow are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 1.9.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Lada — Dynamo Moscow1.9–2.8
Lada to win (incl. OT and shootout)32%
Dynamo Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout)68%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)38%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)62%

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Form

Lada

  • 12.10away · Khabarovsk0:1
  • 10.10away · Vladivostok3:4 OT
  • 05.10Shanghai0:5
  • 02.10away · Avangard Omsk1:4
  • 30.09away · Yekaterinburg1:3

Dynamo Moscow

  • 11.10SKA St. Petersburg4:3 OT
  • 09.10CSKA Moscow2:5
  • 07.10Shanghai2:3
  • 03.10away · CSKA Moscow3:4 SO
  • 01.10Nizhny Novgorod1:3

Head to head

  • 26.01.2026Dynamo Moscow — Lada3:1
  • 23.01.2026Lada — Dynamo Moscow2:1
  • 05.12.2025Lada — Dynamo Moscow2:4
  • 06.11.2025Dynamo Moscow — Lada4:3 SO
  • 08.11.2024Dynamo Moscow — Lada2:3

Full record: 15 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceYekaterinburg1362534–32+214
16Dynamo Moscow1662833–46-1314
17, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceVladivostok1453635–39-413
21Sochi14301119–49-306
22Lada15141024–59-356

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →