Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Thursday, 22 October, MSK

Baranavichy — Gomel

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Model prediction for 22 October

Baranavichy26%
Draw in regulation20%
Gomel54%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Gomel are clear favourites: 67% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects plenty of goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 53%.

Why

  • Gomel are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Baranavichy — Gomel2.3–3.2
Baranavichy to win (incl. OT and shootout)33%
Gomel to win (incl. OT and shootout)67%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)53%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)47%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Baranavichy
  • Baranavichy goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Baranavichy

  • 11.10Vitebsk3:5
  • 09.10Vitebsk4:2
  • 05.10away · Soligorsk5:4
  • 03.10away · Soligorsk2:4
  • 30.09Yunost Minsk5:0

Gomel

  • 11.10away · Mogilev5:1
  • 09.10away · Mogilev3:2
  • 05.10Lokomotiv Orsha5:2
  • 03.10Lokomotiv Orsha4:3
  • 29.09away · Novopolotsk1:3

Head to head

  • 30.01.2026Gomel — Baranavichy3:1
  • 28.01.2026Gomel — Baranavichy2:1 OT
  • 26.10.2025Baranavichy — Gomel0:2
  • 24.10.2025Baranavichy — Gomel1:2 OT
  • 17.01.2025Gomel — Baranavichy2:1

Full record: 10 meetings →

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 216%Model's score: 1:45.3
  • Yunost MinskLidapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →