Baranavichy — Gomel
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Gomel are clear favourites: 67% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects plenty of goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 53%.
Why
- Gomel are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Baranavichy — Gomel | 2.3–3.2 | |
| Baranavichy to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 33% | |
| Gomel to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 67% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 53% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 47% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Baranavichy
- Baranavichy goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 11.10Vitebsk3:5
- 09.10Vitebsk4:2
- 05.10away · Soligorsk5:4
- 03.10away · Soligorsk2:4
- 30.09Yunost Minsk5:0
- 11.10away · Mogilev5:1
- 09.10away · Mogilev3:2
- 05.10Lokomotiv Orsha5:2
- 03.10Lokomotiv Orsha4:3
- 29.09away · Novopolotsk1:3
Head to head
- 30.01.2026Gomel — Baranavichy3:1
- 28.01.2026Gomel — Baranavichy2:1 OT
- 26.10.2025Baranavichy — Gomel0:2
- 24.10.2025Baranavichy — Gomel1:2 OT
- 17.01.2025Gomel — Baranavichy2:1
Belarus Extraleague on the same day
- NovopolotskZhlobinpreliminary18822The model's most likely outcome: 216%Model's score: 1:45.3
- Yunost MinskLidapreliminary35652The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →