VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Sunday, 25 October, 13:00 MSK

Bars — Almetyevsk

Model prediction for 25 October

Bars28%

Draw in regulation22%

Almetyevsk50%

Model estimate at 03:00 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Almetyevsk are clear favourites: 64% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 42%.

Why

Almetyevsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Bars — Almetyevsk		2.1–2.8
Bars to win (incl. OT and shootout)		36%
Almetyevsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)		64%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		42%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		58%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Bars
Bars goals
Overtime chance
Full score grid

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Form

Bars

12.10Zvezda Moscow5:2
10.10Khimik2:1
06.10away · Gornyak3:2
04.10away · Chelmet Chelyabinsk4:3
02.10away · Magnitka Magnitogorsk2:4

Almetyevsk

12.10Dinamo St. Petersburg3:2
10.10Zvezda Moscow3:5
08.10Khimik3:2
04.10away · Gornyak2:1 SO
02.10away · Chelmet Chelyabinsk2:4

Head to head

18.01.2026Bars — Almetyevsk2:3 SO
04.11.2025Almetyevsk — Bars4:1
12.01.2025Almetyevsk — Bars1:0
08.11.2024Bars — Almetyevsk0:7
28.01.2024Almetyevsk — Bars4:2

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
1, Playoffs	Almetyevsk	15	11	0	4	44–30	+14	22
2, Playoffs	Buran Voronezh	14	10	2	2	31–22	+9	22
13, Playoffs	Gornyak	10	7	1	2	29–18	+11	15
14, Playoffs	Bars	14	7	1	6	35–44	-9	15
15, Playoffs	Kristall Saratov	12	7	1	4	31–41	-10	15

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

11:00
Chelmet ChelyabinskKrasnoyarskpreliminary
6337
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
11:00
GornyakHC Norilskpreliminary
6832
1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:15.1
11:00
Magnitka MagnitogorskMetallurg Novokuznetskpreliminary
4357
2The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.3
11:00
OrskDyn. Altaypreliminary
5941
1The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.1
16:00
Kristall SaratovTambovpreliminary
4654
2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →