VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Magnitka Magnitogorsk — Metallurg Novokuznetsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Metallurg Novokuznetsk are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.2 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 29%.
Why
- Metallurg Novokuznetsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.3 expected goals against 2.0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Magnitka Magnitogorsk — Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 2.0–2.3 | |
| Magnitka Magnitogorsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 43% | |
| Metallurg Novokuznetsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 57% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 29% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 71% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Magnitka Magnitogorsk
- Magnitka Magnitogorsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · AKM3:2
- 10.10away · Ryazan3:4 SO
- 02.10Bars4:2
- 30.09Almetyevsk1:2 OT
- 28.09CSK VVS3:0
- 13.10Izhevsk3:2 SO
- 11.10Olympia2:0
- 05.10away · Kristall Saratov2:0
- 03.10away · Dizel2:0
- 01.10away · Tambov0:3
Head to head
- 31.01.2026Metallurg Novokuznetsk — Magnitka Magnitogorsk2:5
- 18.10.2025Magnitka Magnitogorsk — Metallurg Novokuznetsk6:4
- 05.04.2025Metallurg Novokuznetsk — Magnitka Magnitogorsk2:4
- 03.04.2025Magnitka Magnitogorsk — Metallurg Novokuznetsk2:3 OT
- 01.04.2025Metallurg Novokuznetsk — Magnitka Magnitogorsk4:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs | AKM | 14 | 8 | +11 | 19 |
| 7, Playoffs | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 14 | 8 | +11 | 19 |
| 8, Playoffs | Kaluga | 13 | 8 | +10 | 19 |
| 15, Playoffs | Kristall Saratov | 12 | 7 | -10 | 15 |
| 16, Playoffs | Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 11 | 5 | +4 | 14 |
| 17 | Toros Neftekamsk | 13 | 6 | -1 | 14 |
VHL on the same day
- Chelmet ChelyabinskKrasnoyarskpreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- GornyakHC Norilskpreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:15.1
- OrskDyn. Altaypreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.1
- BarsAlmetyevskpreliminary36642The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.9
- Kristall SaratovTambovpreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →