AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Belleville Senators — Hartford Wolf Pack

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Model prediction for 31 October

Belleville Senators43%
Draw in regulation21%
Hartford Wolf Pack37%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Belleville Senators are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.

6.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 60%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.1 and 2.9.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Belleville Senators — Hartford Wolf Pack3.1–2.9
Belleville Senators to win (incl. OT and shootout)53%
Hartford Wolf Pack to win (incl. OT and shootout)47%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)60%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)40%

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Form

Belleville Senators

  • 12.10Utica Comets2:4
  • 11.10away · Syracuse Crunch3:2
  • 04.10Rochester Americans3:2 SO
  • 03.10Hamilton Hammers2:5
  • 19.04away · Syracuse Crunch0:4

Hartford Wolf Pack

  • 11.10Laval Rocket2:5
  • 11.10Wilkes-Barre/Scranton1:7
  • 10.10away · Providence Bruins2:0
  • 05.10away · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton3:2
  • 04.10away · Lehigh Valley Phantoms5:2

Head to head

  • 22.02.2026Hartford Wolf Pack — Belleville Senators4:0
  • 09.11.2025Belleville Senators — Hartford Wolf Pack2:1
  • 10.03.2025Hartford Wolf Pack — Belleville Senators4:1
  • 30.01.2025Belleville Senators — Hartford Wolf Pack6:5 OT
  • 24.03.2024Belleville Senators — Hartford Wolf Pack1:3

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
17Springfield Thunderbirds42118–9-15.625
18Hartford Wolf Pack530213–16-36.600
19Tucson Roadrunners420214–12+24.500
21Charlotte Checkers420211–12-14.500
22Belleville Senators420210–13-34.500
23Hamilton Hammers411214–17-33.375

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →