AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Springfield Thunderbirds — Providence Bruins
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Providence Bruins are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.
Why
- Providence Bruins are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Springfield Thunderbirds — Providence Bruins | 2.3–2.9 | |
| Springfield Thunderbirds to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 38% | |
| Providence Bruins to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 62% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 47% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Springfield Thunderbirds
- Springfield Thunderbirds goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 11.10Charlotte Checkers1:2 SO
- 11.10Laval Rocket2:5
- 04.10away · Providence Bruins2:0
- 04.10away · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton3:2 OT
- 24.05away · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton1:8
- 11.10Wilkes-Barre/Scranton2:6
- 11.10Charlotte Checkers6:2
- 10.10Hartford Wolf Pack0:2
- 04.10Springfield Thunderbirds0:2
- 03.10Utica Comets1:2
Head to head
- 04.10.2026Providence Bruins — Springfield Thunderbirds0:2
- 08.05.2026Springfield Thunderbirds — Providence Bruins1:0 OT
- 06.05.2026Springfield Thunderbirds — Providence Bruins3:2 OT
- 04.05.2026Providence Bruins — Springfield Thunderbirds2:1
- 02.05.2026Providence Bruins — Springfield Thunderbirds2:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Iowa Wild | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .625 |
| 17 | Springfield Thunderbirds | 4 | 2 | -1 | 5 | .625 |
| 18 | Hartford Wolf Pack | 5 | 3 | -3 | 6 | .600 |
| 29 | Syracuse Crunch | 4 | 1 | -10 | 2 | .250 |
| 30 | Providence Bruins | 5 | 1 | -5 | 2 | .200 |
| 31 | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 3 | 0 | -7 | 1 | .167 |
AHL on the same day
- Belleville SenatorsHartford Wolf Packpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:26.0
- Cleveland MonstersMilwaukee Admiralspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
- Syracuse CrunchHamilton Hammerspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.9
- Toronto MarliesHershey Bearspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.4
- Utica CometsWilkes-Barre/Scrantonpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- Rochester AmericansLehigh Valley Phantomspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.8
- Iowa WildCharlotte Checkerspreliminary31692The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.4
- Rockford IceHogsManitoba Moosepreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →