AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

Belleville Senators — Laval Rocket

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Model prediction for 17 October

Belleville Senators31%
Draw in regulation20%
Laval Rocket49%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Laval Rocket are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 58%.

Why

  • Laval Rocket are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.7.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Belleville Senators — Laval Rocket2.6–3.2
Belleville Senators to win (incl. OT and shootout)40%
Laval Rocket to win (incl. OT and shootout)60%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)58%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)42%

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Form

Belleville Senators

  • 12.10Utica Comets2:4
  • 11.10away · Syracuse Crunch3:2
  • 04.10Rochester Americans3:2 SO
  • 03.10Hamilton Hammers2:5
  • 19.04away · Syracuse Crunch0:4

Laval Rocket

  • 11.10away · Hartford Wolf Pack5:2
  • 11.10away · Springfield Thunderbirds5:2
  • 03.10Syracuse Crunch6:1
  • 03.10Syracuse Crunch0:2
  • 09.05Toronto Marlies2:3

Head to head

  • 11.04.2026Laval Rocket — Belleville Senators5:2
  • 11.04.2026Laval Rocket — Belleville Senators6:7 OT
  • 15.01.2026Laval Rocket — Belleville Senators2:3 OT
  • 31.12.2025Belleville Senators — Laval Rocket3:4
  • 07.12.2025Belleville Senators — Laval Rocket4:3

Full record: 32 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
3Manitoba Moose430118–6+126.750
4Laval Rocket430116–7+96.750
5Calgary Wranglers430114–10+46.750
21Charlotte Checkers420211–12-14.500
22Belleville Senators420210–13-34.500
23Hamilton Hammers411214–17-33.375

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →