Swiss National League (hockey) · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Bern — Lausanne
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Bern are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.8 in total, against a competition average of 5.4.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 40%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bern — Lausanne | 2.5–2.3 | |
| Bern to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Lausanne to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 40% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 60% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Bern
- Bern goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 10.10away · Ambri-Piotta2:1 OT
- 09.10Biel4:2
- 03.10away · Rapperswil-Jona3:4 OT
- 02.10Servette2:3 SO
- 29.09away · Fribourg2:5
- 10.10away · Rapperswil-Jona4:1
- 07.10Lugano2:5
- 03.10away · Zurich2:3 OT
- 02.10Biel7:4
- 30.09Servette6:5 SO
Head to head
- 24.01.2026Bern — Lausanne3:1
- 22.12.2025Lausanne — Bern2:3 OT
- 17.10.2025Bern — Lausanne0:2
- 28.09.2025Lausanne — Bern6:3
- 24.01.2025Lausanne — Bern5:4 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Lugano | 10 | 4 | +3 | 15 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Lausanne | 11 | 4 | -4 | 15 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Ambri-Piotta | 10 | 4 | -6 | 15 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Bern | 9 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Zug | 7 | 4 | +10 | 13 |
National League on the same day
- 71291The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:25.5
- 54461The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:24.9
- 53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
- 59411The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.3
- 73271The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:15.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →