Swiss National League (hockey) · Friday, 16 October, MSK
EHC Kloten — Ambri-Piotta
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
EHC Kloten are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.9 in total, against a competition average of 5.4.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 42%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: EHC Kloten — Ambri-Piotta | 2.5–2.4 | |
| EHC Kloten to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Ambri-Piotta to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 42% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 58% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap EHC Kloten
- EHC Kloten goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Zug1:3
- 09.10away · Davos4:1
- 03.10away · Langnau Tigers2:6
- 02.10Fribourg1:4
- 29.09away · Servette0:4
- 10.10Bern1:2 OT
- 03.10away · Fribourg2:1
- 01.10Langnau Tigers1:5
- 29.09Davos0:3
- 26.09away · Lugano5:3
Head to head
- 17.01.2026Ambri-Piotta — EHC Kloten2:5
- 07.12.2025EHC Kloten — Ambri-Piotta2:1
- 18.10.2025EHC Kloten — Ambri-Piotta1:3
- 09.09.2025Ambri-Piotta — EHC Kloten2:1
- 10.03.2025EHC Kloten — Ambri-Piotta5:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Lausanne | 11 | 4 | -4 | 15 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Ambri-Piotta | 10 | 4 | -6 | 15 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Bern | 9 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 13, Relegation play-off | Biel | 10 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | EHC Kloten | 11 | 2 | -17 | 9 |
National League on the same day
- 54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
- 71291The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:25.5
- 53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
- 59411The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.3
- 73271The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:15.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →