Swiss National League (hockey) · Friday, 30 October, 21:45 MSK

Biel — EHC Kloten

Model prediction for 30 October

Biel52%

Draw in regulation21%

EHC Kloten27%

Model estimate at 23:15 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Biel are clear favourites: 64% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.4).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 44%.

Why

Biel are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Biel — EHC Kloten		2.9–2.1
Biel to win (incl. OT and shootout)		64%
EHC Kloten to win (incl. OT and shootout)		36%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		44%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		56%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Biel
Biel goals
Overtime chance
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Form

Biel

10.10Lugano2:3
09.10away · Bern2:4
03.10Davos4:3
02.10away · Lausanne4:7
29.09away · Zurich3:6

EHC Kloten

11.10Zug1:3
09.10away · Davos4:1
03.10away · Langnau Tigers2:6
02.10Fribourg1:4
29.09away · Servette0:4

Head to head

24.09.2026EHC Kloten — Biel0:6
01.02.2026EHC Kloten — Biel3:2 OT
25.11.2025Biel — EHC Kloten3:1
24.10.2025Biel — EHC Kloten5:1
03.10.2025EHC Kloten — Biel2:1

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTW	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
12	Rapperswil-Jona	11	2	2	1	6	28–42	-14	11
13, Relegation play-off	Biel	10	3	0	1	6	31–35	-4	10
14, Relegation play-off	EHC Kloten	11	2	1	1	7	23–40	-17	9

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

National League on the same day

21:45
AjoieBernpreliminary
3862
2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.9
21:45
DavosRapperswil-Jonapreliminary
6931
1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.3
21:45
FribourgServettepreliminary
6337
1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.0
21:45
ZugLangnau Tigerspreliminary
5842
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.1
21:45
ZurichAmbri-Piottapreliminary
7525
1The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:15.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →