Swiss National League (hockey) · Friday, 30 October, MSK

Davos — Rapperswil-Jona

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Model prediction for 30 October

Davos57%
Draw in regulation20%
Rapperswil-Jona23%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Davos are clear favourites: 69% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.4).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.

Why

  • Davos are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Davos — Rapperswil-Jona3.2–2.1
Davos to win (incl. OT and shootout)69%
Rapperswil-Jona to win (incl. OT and shootout)31%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)49%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Davos goals
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Form

Davos

  • 10.10away · Servette2:3
  • 09.10EHC Kloten1:4
  • 03.10away · Biel3:4
  • 02.10Ajoie3:1
  • 29.09away · Ambri-Piotta3:0

Rapperswil-Jona

  • 10.10Lausanne1:4
  • 09.10away · Langnau Tigers0:3
  • 03.10Bern4:3 OT
  • 02.10away · Lugano2:5
  • 29.09Zug2:5

Head to head

  • 25.09.2026Rapperswil-Jona — Davos3:2
  • 29.01.2026Rapperswil-Jona — Davos3:4
  • 28.11.2025Davos — Rapperswil-Jona4:3 SO
  • 01.11.2025Davos — Rapperswil-Jona6:1
  • 30.09.2025Rapperswil-Jona — Davos4:3 SO

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsZug7401225–15+1013
11Davos11401627–31-413
12Rapperswil-Jona11221628–42-1411
13, Relegation play-offBiel10301631–35-410

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

National League on the same day

  • AjoieBernpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.9
  • BielEHC Klotenpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.0
  • FribourgServettepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.0
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.1
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:15.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →