AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Charlotte Checkers — Hartford Wolf Pack
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Charlotte Checkers are clear favourites: 69% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.
Why
- Charlotte Checkers are more dangerous in attack: 3.3 expected goals against 2.2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Charlotte Checkers — Hartford Wolf Pack | 3.3–2.2 | |
| Charlotte Checkers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 69% | |
| Hartford Wolf Pack to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 31% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 52% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Charlotte Checkers
- Charlotte Checkers goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Springfield Thunderbirds2:1 SO
- 11.10away · Providence Bruins2:6
- 04.10away · Hershey Bears2:3
- 04.10away · Hershey Bears5:2
- 26.04Springfield Thunderbirds1:2 OT
- 11.10Laval Rocket2:5
- 11.10Wilkes-Barre/Scranton1:7
- 10.10away · Providence Bruins2:0
- 05.10away · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton3:2
- 04.10away · Lehigh Valley Phantoms5:2
Head to head
- 29.03.2026Hartford Wolf Pack — Charlotte Checkers1:2 SO
- 29.03.2026Hartford Wolf Pack — Charlotte Checkers1:2 OT
- 19.03.2026Charlotte Checkers — Hartford Wolf Pack2:5
- 18.03.2026Charlotte Checkers — Hartford Wolf Pack2:5
- 16.02.2026Charlotte Checkers — Hartford Wolf Pack9:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Springfield Thunderbirds | 4 | 2 | -1 | 5 | .625 |
| 18 | Hartford Wolf Pack | 5 | 3 | -3 | 6 | .600 |
| 19 | Tucson Roadrunners | 4 | 2 | +2 | 4 | .500 |
| 20 | Bakersfield Condors | 4 | 2 | +1 | 4 | .500 |
| 21 | Charlotte Checkers | 4 | 2 | -1 | 4 | .500 |
| 22 | Belleville Senators | 4 | 2 | -3 | 4 | .500 |
AHL on the same day
- 40602The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.9
- 42582The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.7
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:46.3
- 50502The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.7
- 48522The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.5
- 38622The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.2
- 51491The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
- 60401The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:26.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →