AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Charlotte Checkers — Springfield Thunderbirds
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Charlotte Checkers are clear favourites: 68% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.
Why
- Charlotte Checkers are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Charlotte Checkers — Springfield Thunderbirds | 3.2–2.2 | |
| Charlotte Checkers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 68% | |
| Springfield Thunderbirds to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 32% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 51% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Charlotte Checkers
- Charlotte Checkers goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Springfield Thunderbirds2:1 SO
- 11.10away · Providence Bruins2:6
- 04.10away · Hershey Bears2:3
- 04.10away · Hershey Bears5:2
- 26.04Springfield Thunderbirds1:2 OT
- 11.10Charlotte Checkers1:2 SO
- 11.10Laval Rocket2:5
- 04.10away · Providence Bruins2:0
- 04.10away · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton3:2 OT
- 24.05away · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton1:8
Head to head
- 11.10.2026Springfield Thunderbirds — Charlotte Checkers1:2 SO
- 26.04.2026Charlotte Checkers — Springfield Thunderbirds1:2 OT
- 25.04.2026Charlotte Checkers — Springfield Thunderbirds2:5
- 23.04.2026Charlotte Checkers — Springfield Thunderbirds8:1
- 01.03.2026Springfield Thunderbirds — Charlotte Checkers5:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Iowa Wild | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .625 |
| 17 | Springfield Thunderbirds | 4 | 2 | -1 | 5 | .625 |
| 18 | Hartford Wolf Pack | 5 | 3 | -3 | 6 | .600 |
| 20 | Bakersfield Condors | 4 | 2 | +1 | 4 | .500 |
| 21 | Charlotte Checkers | 4 | 2 | -1 | 4 | .500 |
| 22 | Belleville Senators | 4 | 2 | -3 | 4 | .500 |
AHL on the same day
- Grand Rapids GriffinsCleveland Monsterspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.4
- Hartford Wolf PackProvidence Bruinspreliminary38622The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.3
- Laval RocketHamilton Hammerspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:26.2
- Syracuse CrunchRochester Americanspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- Wilkes-Barre/ScrantonBelleville Senatorspreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:26.0
- Iowa WildManitoba Moosepreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- Milwaukee AdmiralsChicago Wolvespreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
- Texas StarsOntario Reignpreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →