AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Syracuse Crunch — Rochester Americans
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Syracuse Crunch are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.
Why
- Syracuse Crunch are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Syracuse Crunch — Rochester Americans | 2.8–2.5 | |
| Syracuse Crunch to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Rochester Americans to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 49% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 51% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Syracuse Crunch
- Syracuse Crunch goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 11.10Belleville Senators2:3
- 10.10away · Rochester Americans1:7
- 03.10away · Laval Rocket1:6
- 03.10away · Laval Rocket2:0
- 03.05Cleveland Monsters1:2 OT
- 11.10away · Utica Comets1:2
- 10.10Syracuse Crunch7:1
- 04.10away · Belleville Senators2:3 SO
- 03.10Toronto Marlies3:1
- 26.04away · Toronto Marlies2:4
Head to head
- 10.10.2026Rochester Americans — Syracuse Crunch7:1
- 09.04.2026Syracuse Crunch — Rochester Americans2:3
- 29.03.2026Rochester Americans — Syracuse Crunch3:2 SO
- 29.03.2026Syracuse Crunch — Rochester Americans5:3
- 21.03.2026Rochester Americans — Syracuse Crunch3:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton | 4 | 2 | +8 | 5 | .625 |
| 14 | Rochester Americans | 4 | 2 | +6 | 5 | .625 |
| 15 | San Diego Gulls | 4 | 2 | +2 | 5 | .625 |
| 28 | San Jose Barracuda | 4 | 1 | -9 | 2 | .250 |
| 29 | Syracuse Crunch | 4 | 1 | -10 | 2 | .250 |
| 30 | Providence Bruins | 5 | 1 | -5 | 2 | .200 |
AHL on the same day
- Charlotte CheckersSpringfield Thunderbirdspreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.4
- Grand Rapids GriffinsCleveland Monsterspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.4
- Hartford Wolf PackProvidence Bruinspreliminary38622The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.3
- Laval RocketHamilton Hammerspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:26.2
- Wilkes-Barre/ScrantonBelleville Senatorspreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:26.0
- Iowa WildManitoba Moosepreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- Milwaukee AdmiralsChicago Wolvespreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
- Texas StarsOntario Reignpreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →