VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Metallurg Novokuznetsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Metallurg Novokuznetsk are clear favourites: 67% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects plenty of goals: 5.1 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.
Why
- Metallurg Novokuznetsk are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 2.1–3.0 | |
| Chelmet Chelyabinsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 33% | |
| Metallurg Novokuznetsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 67% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 45% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Chelmet Chelyabinsk
- Chelmet Chelyabinsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Ryazan0:8
- 04.10Bars3:4
- 02.10Almetyevsk4:2
- 30.09CSK VVS4:5 OT
- 24.09away · Khimik0:6
- 13.10Izhevsk3:2 SO
- 11.10Olympia2:0
- 05.10away · Kristall Saratov2:0
- 03.10away · Dizel2:0
- 01.10away · Tambov0:3
Head to head
- 29.01.2026Metallurg Novokuznetsk — Chelmet Chelyabinsk3:2
- 20.10.2025Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Metallurg Novokuznetsk2:3
- 14.03.2025Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Metallurg Novokuznetsk0:2
- 13.09.2024Metallurg Novokuznetsk — Chelmet Chelyabinsk2:0
- 24.01.2024Metallurg Novokuznetsk — Chelmet Chelyabinsk3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs | AKM | 14 | 8 | +11 | 19 |
| 7, Playoffs | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 14 | 8 | +11 | 19 |
| 8, Playoffs | Kaluga | 13 | 8 | +10 | 19 |
| 29 | Krasnoyarsk | 14 | 4 | -13 | 8 |
| 30 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 11 | 3 | -24 | 8 |
VHL on the same day
- GornyakKrasnoyarskpreliminary69311The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.9
- Magnitka MagnitogorskDyn. Altaypreliminary73271The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:14.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →