VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Gornyak — Krasnoyarsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Gornyak are clear favourites: 69% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 41%.
Why
- Gornyak are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 1.9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Gornyak — Krasnoyarsk | 2.9–1.9 | |
| Gornyak to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 69% | |
| Krasnoyarsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 31% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 41% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 59% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Gornyak
- Gornyak goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 06.10Bars2:3
- 04.10Almetyevsk1:2 SO
- 02.10CSK VVS5:2
- 26.09away · Khimik4:1
- 24.09away · Zvezda Moscow3:2
- 13.10Toros Neftekamsk2:0
- 11.10Izhevsk3:2
- 09.10Olympia3:4
- 03.10away · Kristall Saratov2:3
- 01.10away · Dizel0:2
Head to head
- 29.01.2026Krasnoyarsk — Gornyak1:0
- 20.10.2025Gornyak — Krasnoyarsk2:4
- 16.03.2025Gornyak — Krasnoyarsk5:4 OT
- 13.09.2024Krasnoyarsk — Gornyak4:3 OT
- 18.12.2023Krasnoyarsk — Gornyak1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12, Playoffs | Tambov | 13 | 7 | 0 | 16 |
| 13, Playoffs | Gornyak | 10 | 7 | +11 | 15 |
| 14, Playoffs | Bars | 14 | 7 | -9 | 15 |
| 28 | Izhevsk | 13 | 3 | -11 | 8 |
| 29 | Krasnoyarsk | 14 | 4 | -13 | 8 |
| 30 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 11 | 3 | -24 | 8 |
VHL on the same day
- Chelmet ChelyabinskMetallurg Novokuznetskpreliminary33672The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.1
- Magnitka MagnitogorskDyn. Altaypreliminary73271The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:14.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →