NHL · Wednesday, 7 October, MSK · United Center
Chicago Blackhawks — St. Louis Blues
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
4:2Missed
In short
Final score 4:2: the model's most likely outcome, St. Louis Blues to win (59% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 59% fails in about 41 matches out of 100 on average.
St. Louis Blues are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.
Why
- St. Louis Blues are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Chicago Blackhawks — St. Louis Blues | 2.4–2.8 | |
| Chicago Blackhawks to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 41% | |
| St. Louis Blues to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 59% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 48% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 52% |
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- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Chicago Blackhawks
- Chicago Blackhawks goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 04.10away · Buffalo Sabres3:4
- 02.10away · Utah Mammoth0:6
- 30.09away · Vegas Golden Knights2:5
- 16.04San Jose Sharks5:2
- 14.04Buffalo Sabres1:5
- 04.10away · Colorado Avalanche1:6
- 03.10away · Dallas Stars4:0
- 17.04away · Utah Mammoth5:3
- 15.04Pittsburgh Penguins7:5
- 14.04Minnesota Wild6:3
Head to head
- 12.04.2026Chicago Blackhawks — St. Louis Blues3:5
- 08.01.2026Chicago Blackhawks — St. Louis Blues7:3
- 13.12.2025St. Louis Blues — Chicago Blackhawks3:2
- 16.10.2025St. Louis Blues — Chicago Blackhawks3:8
- 22.03.2025St. Louis Blues — Chicago Blackhawks4:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Pittsburgh Penguins | 7 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 16 | St. Louis Blues | 6 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 17, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Toronto Maple Leafs | 7 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 28 | Vancouver Canucks | 8 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
| 29 | Chicago Blackhawks | 7 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
| 30 | Philadelphia Flyers | 8 | 0 | -21 | 3 |
Next matches
- New York IslandersChicago Blackhawks9 October · NHL64361The most likely outcome came true: 123%4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 4:1, exactly right.5.2
- St. Louis BluesSan Jose Sharks9 October · NHL60401The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%2:3OTFinal score 2:3 in overtime. Model's score: 4:1.5.4
NHL on the same day
- 51491The most likely outcome came true: 123%3:2OTFinal score 3:2 in overtime. Model's score: 5:2.5.8
- 55451The most likely outcome came true: 123%5:3Final score 5:3. Model's score: 4:1.5.5
- 43572The most likely outcome came true: 223%4:6Final score 4:6. Model's score: 1:4.5.5
- 45552The most likely outcome came true: 224%3:5Final score 3:5. Model's score: 1:4.5.3
- 53471The most likely outcome came true: 123%5:4OTFinal score 5:4 in overtime. Model's score: 5:2.5.6
- 57431The most likely outcome came true: 124%5:2Final score 5:2. Model's score: 4:1.5.3
- 42582The most likely outcome came true: 223%2:6Final score 2:6. Model's score: 1:4.5.3
- 52481The most likely outcome did not happen: 124%1:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 4:1.5.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →