NHL · Wednesday, 7 October, MSK · Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings — Ottawa Senators
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
5:3Came true
In short
Final score 5:3: the model's most likely outcome, Detroit Red Wings to win (55% incl. overtime), came true.
Detroit Red Wings are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 53%.
Why
- Detroit Red Wings are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.6.
- Ottawa Senators: second game in two days — the model lowers their attack and defence.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Detroit Red Wings — Ottawa Senators | 2.9–2.6 | |
| Detroit Red Wings to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Ottawa Senators to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 53% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 47% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Detroit Red Wings
- Detroit Red Wings goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 04.10Winnipeg Jets2:3
- 03.10New York Rangers0:2
- 16.04away · Florida Panthers1:8
- 14.04away · Tampa Bay Lightning3:4 OT
- 12.04New Jersey Devils3:5
- 06.10away · Boston Bruins4:1
- 04.10away · Toronto Maple Leafs3:2
- 25.04Carolina Hurricanes2:4
- 24.04Carolina Hurricanes1:2
- 21.04away · Carolina Hurricanes2:3 OT
Head to head
- 25.03.2026Detroit Red Wings — Ottawa Senators2:3
- 27.02.2026Ottawa Senators — Detroit Red Wings1:2 OT
- 19.01.2026Detroit Red Wings — Ottawa Senators4:3 OT
- 06.01.2026Ottawa Senators — Detroit Red Wings3:5
- 28.03.2025Detroit Red Wings — Ottawa Senators3:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 7 | 5 | +7 | 10 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Ottawa Senators | 6 | 5 | +7 | 10 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 5 | 4 | +8 | 9 |
| 27 | Vancouver Canucks | 7 | 2 | -11 | 4 |
| 28 | Detroit Red Wings | 5 | 1 | -5 | 3 |
| 29 | Los Angeles Kings | 4 | 0 | -7 | 2 |
Next matches
- Ottawa SenatorsPhiladelphia Flyers9 October · NHL63371The most likely outcome came true: 123%2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 4:1.5.1
- Detroit Red WingsSeattle Kraken10 October · NHL55451The most likely outcome did not happen: 124%3:6Final score 3:6. Model's score: 4:1.5.2
NHL on the same day
- 51491The most likely outcome came true: 123%3:2OTFinal score 3:2 in overtime. Model's score: 5:2.5.8
- 43572The most likely outcome came true: 223%4:6Final score 4:6. Model's score: 1:4.5.5
- 45552The most likely outcome came true: 224%3:5Final score 3:5. Model's score: 1:4.5.3
- 53471The most likely outcome came true: 123%5:4OTFinal score 5:4 in overtime. Model's score: 5:2.5.6
- 57431The most likely outcome came true: 124%5:2Final score 5:2. Model's score: 4:1.5.3
- 41592The most likely outcome did not happen: 224%4:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: 1:4.5.2
- 42582The most likely outcome came true: 223%2:6Final score 2:6. Model's score: 1:4.5.3
- 52481The most likely outcome did not happen: 124%1:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 4:1.5.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →