NHL · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Colorado Avalanche — Calgary Flames
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Colorado Avalanche are clear favourites: 81% to win including overtime and shootout.
6.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 64%.
Why
- Colorado Avalanche are more dangerous in attack: 4.0 expected goals against 2.1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Colorado Avalanche — Calgary Flames | 4.0–2.1 | |
| Colorado Avalanche to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 81% | |
| Calgary Flames to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 19% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 64% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 36% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Colorado Avalanche
- Colorado Avalanche goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10away · Dallas Stars3:2
- 11.10Toronto Maple Leafs3:6
- 09.10away · Calgary Flames7:3
- 08.10away · Winnipeg Jets2:3
- 04.10St. Louis Blues6:1
- 14.10away · Anaheim Ducks4:2
- 11.10Anaheim Ducks2:4
- 09.10Colorado Avalanche3:7
- 05.10away · Seattle Kraken1:6
- 04.10away · Vancouver Canucks1:4
Head to head
- 09.10.2026Calgary Flames — Colorado Avalanche3:7
- 15.04.2026Calgary Flames — Colorado Avalanche1:3
- 10.04.2026Colorado Avalanche — Calgary Flames3:1
- 31.03.2026Colorado Avalanche — Calgary Flames9:2
- 01.04.2025Colorado Avalanche — Calgary Flames2:3 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Winnipeg Jets | 6 | 4 | +1 | 9 |
| 10, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Colorado Avalanche | 6 | 4 | +10 | 8 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Boston Bruins | 6 | 4 | +7 | 8 |
| 31 | Los Angeles Kings | 4 | 0 | -7 | 2 |
| 32 | Calgary Flames | 6 | 1 | -17 | 2 |
NHL on the same day
- Montreal CanadiensPittsburgh Penguinspreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.9
- Vancouver CanucksToronto Maple Leafspreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:56.1
- Dallas StarsColumbus Blue Jacketspreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.4
- Carolina HurricanesWinnipeg Jetspreliminary65351The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:15.4
- Washington CapitalsMinnesota Wildpreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →