NHL · Thursday, 15 October, MSK
Colorado Avalanche — Dallas Stars
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Colorado Avalanche are favourites: 61% to win including overtime and shootout.
6.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 62%.
Why
- Colorado Avalanche are more dangerous in attack: 3.3 expected goals against 2.7.
- Colorado Avalanche: second game in two days — the model lowers their attack and defence.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Colorado Avalanche — Dallas Stars | 3.3–2.7 | |
| Colorado Avalanche to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 61% | |
| Dallas Stars to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 39% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 62% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 38% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Colorado Avalanche
- Colorado Avalanche goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10away · Dallas Stars3:2
- 11.10Toronto Maple Leafs3:6
- 09.10away · Calgary Flames7:3
- 08.10away · Winnipeg Jets2:3
- 04.10St. Louis Blues6:1
- 14.10Colorado Avalanche2:3
- 11.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins1:2 SO
- 09.10away · Buffalo Sabres4:0
- 06.10San Jose Sharks5:0
- 04.10away · Nashville Predators1:2
Head to head
- 14.10.2026Dallas Stars — Colorado Avalanche2:3
- 04.04.2026Dallas Stars — Colorado Avalanche0:2
- 19.03.2026Colorado Avalanche — Dallas Stars1:2 SO
- 07.03.2026Dallas Stars — Colorado Avalanche4:5 SO
- 12.10.2025Colorado Avalanche — Dallas Stars4:5 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Winnipeg Jets | 6 | 4 | +1 | 9 |
| 11, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Colorado Avalanche | 6 | 4 | +10 | 8 |
| 12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Anaheim Ducks | 6 | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 24 | San Jose Sharks | 6 | 3 | -7 | 6 |
| 25 | Dallas Stars | 6 | 2 | +2 | 5 |
| 26 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 5 | 2 | -5 | 4 |
NHL on the same day
- 54461The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:26.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →