NHL · Thursday, 15 October, MSK
Washington Capitals — Montreal Canadiens
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Washington Capitals are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
6.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 63%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.1 and 2.9.
- Washington Capitals: second game in two days — the model lowers their attack and defence.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Washington Capitals — Montreal Canadiens | 3.1–2.9 | |
| Washington Capitals to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Montreal Canadiens to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 63% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 37% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Washington Capitals
- Washington Capitals goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 14.10away · Carolina Hurricanes2:4
- 12.10Seattle Kraken3:5
- 10.10New York Rangers3:1
- 08.10Pittsburgh Penguins5:3
- 04.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning1:3
- 14.10Buffalo Sabres4:3 SO
- 11.10Detroit Red Wings1:0 SO
- 09.10Nashville Predators2:5
- 07.10Carolina Hurricanes4:6
- 04.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins5:6 OT
Head to head
- 01.03.2026Montreal Canadiens — Washington Capitals6:2
- 14.01.2026Washington Capitals — Montreal Canadiens3:2 OT
- 21.11.2025Montreal Canadiens — Washington Capitals4:8
- 01.05.2025Washington Capitals — Montreal Canadiens4:1
- 28.04.2025Montreal Canadiens — Washington Capitals2:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Toronto Maple Leafs | 6 | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 17 | Montreal Canadiens | 6 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Buffalo Sabres | 7 | 3 | -7 | 7 |
| 20 | New York Islanders | 6 | 3 | +4 | 6 |
| 21 | Washington Capitals | 6 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 22 | Nashville Predators | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
NHL on the same day
- 60401The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:26.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →