NHL · Thursday, 1 October, MSK · Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche — Los Angeles Kings
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
8:4Came true
In short
Final score 8:4: the model's most likely outcome, Colorado Avalanche to win (66% incl. overtime), came true.
Colorado Avalanche are clear favourites: 66% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.
Why
- Colorado Avalanche are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.3.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Colorado Avalanche 5 wins, Los Angeles Kings 0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Colorado Avalanche — Los Angeles Kings | 3.1–2.3 | |
| Colorado Avalanche to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 66% | |
| Los Angeles Kings to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 34% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 50% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 50% |
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- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Colorado Avalanche
- Colorado Avalanche goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 27.05away · Vegas Golden Knights1:2
- 25.05away · Vegas Golden Knights3:5
- 23.05Vegas Golden Knights1:3
- 21.05Vegas Golden Knights2:4
- 14.05Minnesota Wild4:3 OT
- 26.04Colorado Avalanche1:5
- 24.04Colorado Avalanche2:4
- 22.04away · Colorado Avalanche1:2 OT
- 19.04away · Colorado Avalanche1:2
- 17.04away · Calgary Flames1:3
Head to head
- 26.04.2026Los Angeles Kings — Colorado Avalanche1:5
- 24.04.2026Los Angeles Kings — Colorado Avalanche2:4
- 22.04.2026Colorado Avalanche — Los Angeles Kings2:1 OT
- 19.04.2026Colorado Avalanche — Los Angeles Kings2:1
- 03.03.2026Los Angeles Kings — Colorado Avalanche2:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Winnipeg Jets | 6 | 4 | +1 | 9 |
| 11, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Colorado Avalanche | 6 | 4 | +10 | 8 |
| 12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Anaheim Ducks | 6 | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 30 | Philadelphia Flyers | 8 | 0 | -21 | 3 |
| 31 | Los Angeles Kings | 5 | 0 | -10 | 2 |
| 32 | Calgary Flames | 6 | 1 | -17 | 2 |
Next matches
- Colorado AvalancheSt. Louis Blues4 October · NHL73271The most likely outcome came true: 119%6:1Final score 6:1. Model's score: 5:2.5.8
- San Jose SharksLos Angeles Kings4 October · NHL45552The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%5:4OTFinal score 5:4 in overtime. Model's score: 2:3.5.8
NHL on the same day
- 49512The most likely outcome came true: 222%0:7Final score 0:7. Model's score: 2:5.5.9
- 46542The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:5.5.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →