KHL · Sunday, 1 November, MSK

Dinamo Minsk — Dynamo Moscow

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Model prediction for 1 November

Dinamo Minsk52%
Draw in regulation21%
Dynamo Moscow27%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Dinamo Minsk are clear favourites: 64% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 43%.

Why

  • Dinamo Minsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.1.

Facts

  • League table: Dinamo Minsk — No. 12, 17 pts; Dynamo Moscow — No. 16, 14 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Dinamo Minsk 3 wins, Dynamo Moscow 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Dinamo Minsk — Dynamo Moscow2.9–2.1
Dinamo Minsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)64%
Dynamo Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout)36%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)43%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)57%

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Form

Dinamo Minsk

  • 12.10away · Shanghai3:2
  • 10.10away · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl1:6
  • 08.10SKA St. Petersburg4:2
  • 05.10Nizhny Novgorod1:2 SO
  • 03.10Lokomotiv Yaroslavl4:3

Dynamo Moscow

  • 11.10SKA St. Petersburg4:3 OT
  • 09.10CSKA Moscow2:5
  • 07.10Shanghai2:3
  • 03.10away · CSKA Moscow3:4 SO
  • 01.10Nizhny Novgorod1:3

Head to head

  • 24.09.2026Dynamo Moscow — Dinamo Minsk4:3 OT
  • 12.09.2026Dynamo Moscow — Dinamo Minsk3:2 SO
  • 30.03.2026Dynamo Moscow — Dinamo Minsk1:2 OT
  • 28.03.2026Dynamo Moscow — Dinamo Minsk1:2 OT
  • 26.03.2026Dinamo Minsk — Dynamo Moscow4:1

Full record: 50 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceSalavat Ufa1581646–47-117
12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceDinamo Minsk1565442–48-617
13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceBarys Astana1480654–40+1416
15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceYekaterinburg1362534–32+214
16Dynamo Moscow1662833–46-1314
17, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceVladivostok1453635–39-413

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →