VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Sunday, 1 November, MSK

Dizel — Olympia

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Model prediction for 1 November

Dizel57%
Draw in regulation22%
Olympia22%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Dizel are clear favourites: 70% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.2 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 29%.

Why

  • Dizel are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 1.6.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Dizel — Olympia2.6–1.6
Dizel to win (incl. OT and shootout)70%
Olympia to win (incl. OT and shootout)30%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)29%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)71%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Dizel
  • Dizel goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Dizel

  • 13.10away · Kurgan3:4
  • 11.10away · Omskie Krylia2:3
  • 05.10Dyn. Altay3:1
  • 03.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk0:2
  • 01.10Krasnoyarsk2:0

Olympia

  • 13.10away · Dyn. Altay4:1
  • 11.10away · Metallurg Novokuznetsk0:2
  • 09.10away · Krasnoyarsk4:3
  • 06.10away · HC Norilsk2:3
  • 01.10Kaluga2:3 OT

Head to head

  • 24.02.2026Dizel — Olympia3:0
  • 26.09.2025Olympia — Dizel1:2
  • 10.12.2024Olympia — Dizel1:2
  • 30.11.2024Dizel — Olympia7:0

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
21HC Yugra1260620–18+212
22Dizel1352629–31-212
23Dyn. Altay1252525–30-512
24Olympia1451837–42-511
25Zvezda Moscow1451833–45-1211

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:34.8
  • KurganOrskpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:13.9
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →