VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Kurgan — Orsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Kurgan are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 3.9 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 23%.
Why
- Kurgan are more dangerous in attack: 2.1 expected goals against 1.8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kurgan — Orsk | 2.1–1.8 | |
| Kurgan to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 58% | |
| Orsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 42% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 23% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 77% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Kurgan
- Kurgan goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Kaluga2:1 SO
- 10.10away · AKM0:3
- 08.10away · Ryazan3:2 OT
- 30.09Bars4:0
- 28.09Almetyevsk2:1
Head to head
- 16.01.2026Kurgan — Orsk3:1
- 05.11.2025Orsk — Kurgan1:3
- 01.02.2025Kurgan — Orsk3:2 OT
- 19.10.2024Orsk — Kurgan2:3 SO
- 24.12.2023Orsk — Kurgan1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs | HC Norilsk | 15 | 9 | +2 | 20 |
| 5, Playoffs | Orsk | 12 | 8 | +13 | 19 |
| 6, Playoffs | AKM | 14 | 8 | +11 | 19 |
| 25 | Zvezda Moscow | 14 | 5 | -12 | 11 |
| 26 | Kurgan | 12 | 3 | -14 | 10 |
| 27 | CSK VVS | 16 | 4 | -25 | 9 |
VHL on the same day
- HC NorilskZvezda Moscowpreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:34.8
- Buran VoronezhIzhevskpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
- DizelOlympiapreliminary70301The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →