KHL · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK
Dynamo Moscow — Novosibirsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 October
In short
Dynamo Moscow are clear favourites: 65% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 35%.
Why
- Dynamo Moscow are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 1.9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dynamo Moscow — Novosibirsk | 2.6–1.9 | |
| Dynamo Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 65% | |
| Novosibirsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 35% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 35% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 65% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Dynamo Moscow
- Dynamo Moscow goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10SKA St. Petersburg4:3 OT
- 09.10CSKA Moscow2:5
- 07.10Shanghai2:3
- 03.10away · CSKA Moscow3:4 SO
- 01.10Nizhny Novgorod1:3
- 12.10away · Barys Astana3:2
- 10.10away · Tractor Chelyabinsk2:1
- 07.10Salavat Ufa4:5 OT
- 04.10away · Niznekamsk2:3
- 02.10away · Salavat Ufa4:2
Head to head
- 20.11.2025Dynamo Moscow — Novosibirsk3:4 SO
- 15.11.2025Novosibirsk — Dynamo Moscow2:3
- 20.11.2024Dynamo Moscow — Novosibirsk4:2
- 15.11.2024Novosibirsk — Dynamo Moscow1:2
- 16.10.2023Dynamo Moscow — Novosibirsk2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Yekaterinburg | 13 | 6 | +2 | 14 |
| 16 | Dynamo Moscow | 16 | 6 | -13 | 14 |
| 17, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Vladivostok | 14 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 18 | Novosibirsk | 15 | 5 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 | Avangard Omsk | 13 | 6 | -12 | 12 |
KHL on the same day
- 70301The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.2
- 53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →