KHL · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Niznekamsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 October
In short
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl are clear favourites: 70% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.2 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 28%.
Why
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavl are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 1.6.
Facts
- League table: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — No. 3, 22 pts; Niznekamsk — No. 6, 18 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 2 wins, Niznekamsk 3.
- Days of rest before the match: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 10, Niznekamsk 8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Niznekamsk | 2.6–1.6 | |
| Lokomotiv Yaroslavl to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 70% | |
| Niznekamsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 30% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 28% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 72% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavl goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Dinamo Minsk6:1
- 05.10away · Bars Kazan2:0
- 03.10away · Dinamo Minsk3:4
- 30.09Novosibirsk3:1
- 27.09away · Novosibirsk2:1
- 12.10away · Salavat Ufa3:4
- 08.10Avangard Omsk0:1
- 04.10Novosibirsk3:2
- 02.10Barys Astana4:5 OT
- 29.09away · Khabarovsk0:1
Head to head
- 17.02.2026Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Niznekamsk1:0
- 14.09.2025Niznekamsk — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl5:4 OT
- 14.03.2025Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Niznekamsk1:2 SO
- 14.09.2024Niznekamsk — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl1:0
- 23.02.2024Niznekamsk — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl2:3 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | CSKA Moscow | 14 | 11 | +22 | 22 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 14 | 11 | +15 | 22 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Cherepovets | 15 | 9 | +4 | 20 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 14 | 9 | +15 | 19 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 12 | 8 | +7 | 17 |
KHL on the same day
- 65351The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.5
- 53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →