Swiss National League (hockey) · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Fribourg — Davos
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Fribourg are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.9 in total, against a competition average of 5.4.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 42%.
Why
- Fribourg are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Fribourg — Davos | 2.7–2.3 | |
| Fribourg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 57% | |
| Davos to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 43% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 42% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 58% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Fribourg
- Fribourg goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Zurich4:5 OT
- 08.10Ajoie7:2
- 03.10Ambri-Piotta1:2
- 02.10away · EHC Kloten4:1
- 29.09Bern5:2
- 10.10away · Servette2:3
- 09.10EHC Kloten1:4
- 03.10away · Biel3:4
- 02.10Ajoie3:1
- 29.09away · Ambri-Piotta3:0
Head to head
- 22.09.2026Davos — Fribourg1:2 SO
- 30.04.2026Davos — Fribourg2:3 OT
- 28.04.2026Fribourg — Davos2:1 OT
- 26.04.2026Davos — Fribourg5:4 OT
- 24.04.2026Fribourg — Davos0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Langnau Tigers | 11 | 5 | +7 | 19 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Fribourg | 11 | 4 | +9 | 18 |
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Ajoie | 11 | 2 | -3 | 16 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Zug | 7 | 4 | +10 | 13 |
| 11 | Davos | 11 | 4 | -4 | 13 |
| 12 | Rapperswil-Jona | 11 | 2 | -14 | 11 |
National League on the same day
- Ambri-PiottaBielpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
- BernZurichpreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6
- EHC KlotenAjoiepreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9
- LausanneLangnau Tigerspreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.3
- Rapperswil-JonaServettepreliminary50501The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- ZugLuganopreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →