SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Frolunda — Linkoping

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Model prediction for 31 October

Frolunda60%
Draw in regulation20%
Linkoping20%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Frolunda are clear favourites: 72% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.3.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 37%.

Why

  • Frolunda are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 1.8.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Frolunda — Linkoping2.9–1.8
Frolunda to win (incl. OT and shootout)72%
Linkoping to win (incl. OT and shootout)28%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)37%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)63%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Frolunda
  • Frolunda goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Frolunda

  • 10.10away · IF Bjorkloven2:3
  • 08.10away · Timra1:4
  • 03.10Djurgarden4:2
  • 01.10Brynas2:1
  • 26.09away · Malmo2:1

Linkoping

  • 10.10away · Djurgarden1:5
  • 08.10away · Vaxjo3:0
  • 03.10IF Bjorkloven2:3
  • 01.10Lulea0:2
  • 26.09away · Rogle1:2 OT

Head to head

  • 31.01.2026Frolunda — Linkoping3:4
  • 06.01.2026Linkoping — Frolunda2:1
  • 29.11.2025Linkoping — Frolunda1:4
  • 13.09.2025Frolunda — Linkoping2:1
  • 22.02.2025Linkoping — Frolunda2:3

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsFarjestad8701034–8+2622
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsFrolunda8510226–20+617
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsIF Bjorkloven8510222–20+217
13, Relegation play-offTimra8120515–22-77
14, Relegation play-offLinkoping7201412–23-117

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

SHL on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:15.3
  • VaxjoFarjestadpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.1
  • DjurgardenBrynaspreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.1
  • MalmoHV 71preliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.3
  • OrebroRoglepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.7
  • TimraLuleapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →