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SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Timra — Lulea

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Model prediction for 31 October

Timra43%
Draw in regulation23%
Lulea34%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Timra are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.3.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 38%.

Why

  • Timra are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 2.2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Timra — Lulea2.5–2.2
Timra to win (incl. OT and shootout)55%
Lulea to win (incl. OT and shootout)45%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)38%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)62%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Timra
  • Timra goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Timra

  • 10.10away · Lulea3:2 OT
  • 08.10Frolunda4:1
  • 03.10Skelleftea1:4
  • 01.10away · Rogle1:4
  • 29.09away · Brynas0:1

Lulea

  • 10.10Timra2:3 OT
  • 08.10Malmo2:3
  • 03.10away · Orebro4:1
  • 01.10away · Linkoping2:0
  • 29.09away · Skelleftea1:6

Head to head

  • 10.10.2026Lulea — Timra2:3 OT
  • 26.02.2026Lulea — Timra7:3
  • 28.12.2025Lulea — Timra5:1
  • 29.11.2025Timra — Lulea3:2
  • 04.10.2025Timra — Lulea2:1

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMalmo7212218–22-410
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLulea8301420–26-610
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsVaxjo8211425–30-59
12HV 718121424–29-58
13, Relegation play-offTimra8120515–22-77
14, Relegation play-offLinkoping7201412–23-117

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

SHL on the same day

  • FrolundaLinkopingpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:14.7
  • SkellefteaIF Bjorklovenpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:15.3
  • VaxjoFarjestadpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.1
  • DjurgardenBrynaspreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.1
  • MalmoHV 71preliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.3
  • OrebroRoglepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.7

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →