VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Gornyak — Metallurg Novokuznetsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Metallurg Novokuznetsk are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 41%.
Why
- Metallurg Novokuznetsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Gornyak — Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 2.2–2.7 | |
| Gornyak to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 40% | |
| Metallurg Novokuznetsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 60% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 41% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 59% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Gornyak
- Gornyak goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 06.10Bars2:3
- 04.10Almetyevsk1:2 SO
- 02.10CSK VVS5:2
- 26.09away · Khimik4:1
- 24.09away · Zvezda Moscow3:2
- 13.10Izhevsk3:2 SO
- 11.10Olympia2:0
- 05.10away · Kristall Saratov2:0
- 03.10away · Dizel2:0
- 01.10away · Tambov0:3
Head to head
- 19.04.2026Metallurg Novokuznetsk — Gornyak5:0
- 16.04.2026Gornyak — Metallurg Novokuznetsk4:7
- 14.04.2026Gornyak — Metallurg Novokuznetsk3:2
- 11.04.2026Metallurg Novokuznetsk — Gornyak1:0
- 09.04.2026Metallurg Novokuznetsk — Gornyak2:1
Table
VHL on the same day
- Chelmet ChelyabinskDyn. Altaypreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →