Kazakhstan Hockey Championship · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Gornyak Rudny — Nomad Astana
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Nomad Astana are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 59%.
Why
- Nomad Astana are more dangerous in attack: 3.3 expected goals against 2.6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Gornyak Rudny — Nomad Astana | 2.6–3.3 | |
| Gornyak Rudny to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 38% | |
| Nomad Astana to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 62% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 59% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 41% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Gornyak Rudny
- Gornyak Rudny goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Almaty2:5
- 11.10away · Almaty3:0
- 07.10Karaganda1:4
- 06.10Karaganda5:3
- 03.10Aktobe7:1
- 11.10away · Kokshetau4:2
- 10.10away · Kokshetau2:3 OT
- 07.10away · Torpedo3:2 SO
- 06.10away · Torpedo3:2 OT
- 02.10Kulager5:4 SO
Head to head
- 07.09.2026Nomad Astana — Gornyak Rudny4:2
- 06.09.2026Nomad Astana — Gornyak Rudny3:4 OT
- 03.02.2026Gornyak Rudny — Nomad Astana3:0
- 02.02.2026Gornyak Rudny — Nomad Astana4:7
- 24.10.2025Gornyak Rudny — Nomad Astana3:6
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs | Nomad Astana | 18 | 16 | +47 | 34 |
| 2, Playoffs | Torpedo | 18 | 13 | +52 | 28 |
| 3, Playoffs | Kokshetau | 18 | 13 | +21 | 27 |
| 4, Playoffs | Gornyak Rudny | 18 | 12 | +27 | 25 |
| 5, Playoffs | Karaganda | 18 | 11 | +29 | 24 |
Kazakhstan Championship on the same day
- KaragandaBeibarys Atyraupreliminary84161The model's most likely outcome: 115%Model's score: 4:15.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →