AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 24 October, MSK

Grand Rapids Griffins — Cleveland Monsters

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Model prediction for 24 October

Grand Rapids Griffins45%
Draw in regulation21%
Cleveland Monsters34%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Grand Rapids Griffins are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.

Why

  • Grand Rapids Griffins are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Grand Rapids Griffins — Cleveland Monsters2.9–2.5
Grand Rapids Griffins to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Cleveland Monsters to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)50%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)50%

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Form

Grand Rapids Griffins

  • 11.10Chicago Wolves5:1
  • 11.10away · Milwaukee Admirals1:4
  • 10.10Manitoba Moose2:1
  • 04.10away · Cleveland Monsters4:5 OT
  • 03.10away · Cleveland Monsters5:2

Cleveland Monsters

  • 11.10away · Lehigh Valley Phantoms5:2
  • 11.10away · Lehigh Valley Phantoms5:4 OT
  • 04.10Grand Rapids Griffins5:4 OT
  • 03.10Grand Rapids Griffins2:5
  • 24.05Toronto Marlies2:3

Head to head

  • 04.10.2026Cleveland Monsters — Grand Rapids Griffins5:4 OT
  • 03.10.2026Cleveland Monsters — Grand Rapids Griffins2:5
  • 19.04.2026Cleveland Monsters — Grand Rapids Griffins6:4
  • 27.03.2026Cleveland Monsters — Grand Rapids Griffins2:5
  • 08.03.2026Cleveland Monsters — Grand Rapids Griffins1:3

Full record: 26 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
8Hershey Bears430113–9+46.750
9Cleveland Monsters430117–15+26.750
10Coachella Valley Firebirds422019–14+56.750
11Grand Rapids Griffins531117–13+47.700
12Ontario Reign320111–13-24.667

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →