AHL (American Hockey League) · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
Grand Rapids Griffins — Manitoba Moose
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Grand Rapids Griffins are clear favourites: 64% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 46%.
Why
- Grand Rapids Griffins are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.2.
Facts
- League table: Grand Rapids Griffins — No. 11, 7 pts; Manitoba Moose — No. 3, 6 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 5 meetings: Grand Rapids Griffins 4 wins, Manitoba Moose 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Grand Rapids Griffins — Manitoba Moose | 2.9–2.2 | |
| Grand Rapids Griffins to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 64% | |
| Manitoba Moose to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 36% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 46% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Grand Rapids Griffins
- Grand Rapids Griffins goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Chicago Wolves5:1
- 11.10away · Milwaukee Admirals1:4
- 10.10Manitoba Moose2:1
- 04.10away · Cleveland Monsters4:5 OT
- 03.10away · Cleveland Monsters5:2
- 11.10away · Chicago Wolves6:1
- 10.10away · Grand Rapids Griffins1:2
- 04.10Chicago Wolves8:3
- 03.10Chicago Wolves3:0
- 09.05away · Grand Rapids Griffins2:5
Head to head
- 10.10.2026Grand Rapids Griffins — Manitoba Moose2:1
- 09.05.2026Grand Rapids Griffins — Manitoba Moose5:2
- 07.05.2026Grand Rapids Griffins — Manitoba Moose4:2
- 03.05.2026Manitoba Moose — Grand Rapids Griffins0:2
- 02.05.2026Manitoba Moose — Grand Rapids Griffins1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Milwaukee Admirals | 2 | 2 | +5 | 4 | 1.000 |
| 3 | Manitoba Moose | 4 | 3 | +12 | 6 | .750 |
| 4 | Laval Rocket | 4 | 3 | +9 | 6 | .750 |
| 10 | Coachella Valley Firebirds | 4 | 2 | +5 | 6 | .750 |
| 11 | Grand Rapids Griffins | 5 | 3 | +4 | 7 | .700 |
| 12 | Ontario Reign | 3 | 2 | -2 | 4 | .667 |
AHL on the same day
- Laval RocketSyracuse Crunchpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
- Toronto MarliesHamilton Hammerspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:26.2
- Rochester AmericansUtica Cometspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.4
- Iowa WildMilwaukee Admiralspreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- San Diego GullsCoachella Valley Firebirdspreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →