AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 24 October, MSK

Hartford Wolf Pack — Providence Bruins

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Model prediction for 24 October

Hartford Wolf Pack29%
Draw in regulation21%
Providence Bruins50%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Providence Bruins are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.

Why

  • Providence Bruins are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Hartford Wolf Pack — Providence Bruins2.3–3.0
Hartford Wolf Pack to win (incl. OT and shootout)38%
Providence Bruins to win (incl. OT and shootout)62%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)49%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)51%

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Form

Hartford Wolf Pack

  • 11.10Laval Rocket2:5
  • 11.10Wilkes-Barre/Scranton1:7
  • 10.10away · Providence Bruins2:0
  • 05.10away · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton3:2
  • 04.10away · Lehigh Valley Phantoms5:2

Providence Bruins

  • 11.10Wilkes-Barre/Scranton2:6
  • 11.10Charlotte Checkers6:2
  • 10.10Hartford Wolf Pack0:2
  • 04.10Springfield Thunderbirds0:2
  • 03.10Utica Comets1:2

Head to head

  • 10.10.2026Providence Bruins — Hartford Wolf Pack0:2
  • 11.04.2026Hartford Wolf Pack — Providence Bruins1:4
  • 15.03.2026Providence Bruins — Hartford Wolf Pack7:0
  • 05.03.2026Hartford Wolf Pack — Providence Bruins2:3
  • 22.02.2026Providence Bruins — Hartford Wolf Pack2:5

Full record: 35 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
17Springfield Thunderbirds42118–9-15.625
18Hartford Wolf Pack530213–16-36.600
19Tucson Roadrunners420214–12+24.500
29Syracuse Crunch41036–16-102.250
30Providence Bruins51049–14-52.200
31Lehigh Valley Phantoms30128–15-71.167

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →