AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · XL Center
Hartford Wolf Pack — Wilkes-Barre/Scranton
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:7Came true
In short
Final score 1:7: the model's most likely outcome, Wilkes-Barre/Scranton to win (61% incl. overtime), came true.
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton are favourites: 61% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.
Why
- Wilkes-Barre/Scranton are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.5.
- Hartford Wolf Pack: second game in two days — the model lowers their attack and defence.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Hartford Wolf Pack — Wilkes-Barre/Scranton | 2.5–3.0 | |
| Hartford Wolf Pack to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 39% | |
| Wilkes-Barre/Scranton to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 61% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 52% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 48% |
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- Hartford Wolf Pack goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 10.10away · Providence Bruins2:0
- 05.10away · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton3:2
- 04.10away · Lehigh Valley Phantoms5:2
- 19.04away · Springfield Thunderbirds3:4
- 18.04Springfield Thunderbirds7:5
- 05.10Hartford Wolf Pack2:3
- 04.10Springfield Thunderbirds2:3 OT
- 08.06Toronto Marlies1:2 OT
- 06.06away · Toronto Marlies1:5
- 04.06away · Toronto Marlies4:3
Head to head
- 05.10.2026Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Hartford Wolf Pack2:3
- 18.01.2026Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Hartford Wolf Pack4:1
- 17.01.2026Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Hartford Wolf Pack3:4
- 11.12.2025Hartford Wolf Pack — Wilkes-Barre/Scranton0:3
- 22.11.2025Hartford Wolf Pack — Wilkes-Barre/Scranton5:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Ontario Reign | 3 | 2 | -2 | 4 | .667 |
| 13 | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton | 4 | 2 | +8 | 5 | .625 |
| 14 | Rochester Americans | 4 | 2 | +6 | 5 | .625 |
| 17 | Springfield Thunderbirds | 4 | 2 | -1 | 5 | .625 |
| 18 | Hartford Wolf Pack | 5 | 3 | -3 | 6 | .600 |
| 19 | Tucson Roadrunners | 4 | 2 | +2 | 4 | .500 |
Next matches
- Hartford Wolf PackLaval Rocket11 October · AHL40602The most likely outcome came true: 221%2:5Final score 2:5. Model's score: 2:4.5.6
- Providence BruinsWilkes-Barre/Scranton11 October · AHL51491The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%2:6Final score 2:6. Model's score: 3:2.5.1
AHL on the same day
- 50501The most likely outcome came true: 122%2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 3:2.5.5
- 40602The most likely outcome came true: 221%2:5Final score 2:5. Model's score: 2:4.5.6
- 55451The most likely outcome came true: 121%2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 4:2.5.7
- 52481The most likely outcome came true: 122%4:3Final score 4:3. Model's score: 3:2.5.4
- 42582The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 2:3.5.1
- 65351The most likely outcome did not happen: 120%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 4:2.5.6
- 47532The most likely outcome came true: 221%4:5OTFinal score 4:5 in overtime. Model's score: 2:4.5.8
- 49512The most likely outcome did not happen: 223%6:2Final score 6:2. Model's score: 2:3.4.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →