AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · UW–Milwaukee Panther Arena
Milwaukee Admirals — Grand Rapids Griffins
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 4:1: the model's most likely outcome, Grand Rapids Griffins to win (58% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 58% fails in about 42 matches out of 100 on average.
Grand Rapids Griffins are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.1 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.
Why
- Grand Rapids Griffins are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.4.
- Grand Rapids Griffins: second game in two days — the model lowers their attack and defence.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Milwaukee Admirals 3 wins, Grand Rapids Griffins 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Milwaukee Admirals — Grand Rapids Griffins | 2.4–2.8 | |
| Milwaukee Admirals to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 42% | |
| Grand Rapids Griffins to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 58% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 45% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 55% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Milwaukee Admirals
- Milwaukee Admirals goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 04.10away · Rockford IceHogs3:1
- 26.04away · Manitoba Moose1:2
- 25.04away · Manitoba Moose1:2
- 23.04away · Manitoba Moose4:1
- 19.04away · Chicago Wolves1:5
- 10.10Manitoba Moose2:1
- 04.10away · Cleveland Monsters4:5 OT
- 03.10away · Cleveland Monsters5:2
- 22.05away · Chicago Wolves2:3
- 20.05away · Chicago Wolves4:3 OT
Head to head
- 18.04.2026Milwaukee Admirals — Grand Rapids Griffins0:8
- 25.03.2026Grand Rapids Griffins — Milwaukee Admirals4:5 OT
- 22.03.2026Milwaukee Admirals — Grand Rapids Griffins5:2
- 15.03.2026Grand Rapids Griffins — Milwaukee Admirals2:5
- 22.02.2026Milwaukee Admirals — Grand Rapids Griffins3:4 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Utica Comets | 3 | 3 | +4 | 6 | 1.000 |
| 2 | Milwaukee Admirals | 2 | 2 | +5 | 4 | 1.000 |
| 3 | Manitoba Moose | 4 | 3 | +12 | 6 | .750 |
| 10 | Coachella Valley Firebirds | 4 | 2 | +5 | 6 | .750 |
| 11 | Grand Rapids Griffins | 5 | 3 | +4 | 7 | .700 |
| 12 | Ontario Reign | 3 | 2 | -2 | 4 | .667 |
Next matches
- Grand Rapids GriffinsChicago Wolves11 October · AHL62381The most likely outcome came true: 121%5:1Final score 5:1. Model's score: 4:2.5.4
- Milwaukee AdmiralsColorado Eagles17 October · AHL38622The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.2
AHL on the same day
- 39612The most likely outcome came true: 221%1:7Final score 1:7. Model's score: 2:4.5.5
- 50501The most likely outcome came true: 122%2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 3:2.5.5
- 40602The most likely outcome came true: 221%2:5Final score 2:5. Model's score: 2:4.5.6
- 55451The most likely outcome came true: 121%2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 4:2.5.7
- 52481The most likely outcome came true: 122%4:3Final score 4:3. Model's score: 3:2.5.4
- 65351The most likely outcome did not happen: 120%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 4:2.5.6
- 47532The most likely outcome came true: 221%4:5OTFinal score 4:5 in overtime. Model's score: 2:4.5.8
- 49512The most likely outcome did not happen: 223%6:2Final score 6:2. Model's score: 2:3.4.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →