SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Thursday, 15 October, MSK

IF Bjorkloven — Rogle

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Model prediction for 15 October

IF Bjorkloven34%
Draw in regulation23%
Rogle43%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Rogle are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.8 in total, against a competition average of 5.3.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 39%.

Why

  • Rogle are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 2.3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: IF Bjorkloven — Rogle2.3–2.5
IF Bjorkloven to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Rogle to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)39%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)61%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap IF Bjorkloven
  • IF Bjorkloven goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

IF Bjorkloven

  • 10.10Frolunda3:2
  • 08.10away · Brynas1:4
  • 03.10away · Linkoping3:2
  • 01.10Vaxjo4:2
  • 29.09HV 714:2

Rogle

  • 10.10away · Skelleftea2:3
  • 08.10HV 714:3
  • 03.10away · Vaxjo2:3
  • 01.10Timra4:1
  • 26.09Linkoping2:1 OT

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsFrolunda8510226–20+617
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsIF Bjorkloven8510222–20+217
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsSkelleftea8411228–21+715
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsBrynas8400423–18+512
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsRogle8310420–18+211
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsOrebro8302318–22-411

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

SHL on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:15.2
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:15.0
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.5
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.0
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.1
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →