SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Thursday, 15 October, MSK

Timra — HV 71

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Model prediction for 15 October

Timra50%
Draw in regulation21%
HV 7129%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Timra are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.3).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.

Why

  • Timra are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Timra — HV 712.9–2.2
Timra to win (incl. OT and shootout)62%
HV 71 to win (incl. OT and shootout)38%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)45%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)55%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Timra
  • Timra goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Timra

  • 10.10away · Lulea3:2 OT
  • 08.10Frolunda4:1
  • 03.10Skelleftea1:4
  • 01.10away · Rogle1:4
  • 29.09away · Brynas0:1

HV 71

  • 10.10Brynas3:2
  • 08.10away · Rogle3:4
  • 03.10away · Farjestad1:3
  • 01.10Orebro2:1 OT
  • 29.09away · IF Bjorkloven2:4

Head to head

  • 28.02.2026Timra — HV 711:2
  • 10.01.2026HV 71 — Timra1:2 SO
  • 01.11.2025Timra — HV 715:0
  • 25.09.2025HV 71 — Timra3:4
  • 11.02.2025Timra — HV 713:0

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
11Djurgarden8211416–22-69
12HV 718121424–29-58
13, Relegation play-offTimra8120515–22-77
14, Relegation play-offLinkoping7201412–23-117

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

SHL on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:15.2
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:15.0
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.8
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.5
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.0
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →