AHL (American Hockey League) · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
Iowa Wild — Milwaukee Admirals
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Milwaukee Admirals are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.8.
Facts
- League table: Iowa Wild — No. 16, 5 pts; Milwaukee Admirals — No. 2, 4 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 5 meetings: Iowa Wild 3 wins, Milwaukee Admirals 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Iowa Wild — Milwaukee Admirals | 2.5–2.8 | |
| Iowa Wild to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Milwaukee Admirals to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 49% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Iowa Wild
- Iowa Wild goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Rockford IceHogs4:3
- 10.10Rockford IceHogs1:2
- 04.10away · Texas Stars4:3 SO
- 03.10away · Texas Stars3:4 SO
- 19.04Manitoba Moose1:6
- 11.10Grand Rapids Griffins4:1
- 04.10away · Rockford IceHogs3:1
- 26.04away · Manitoba Moose1:2
- 25.04away · Manitoba Moose1:2
- 23.04away · Manitoba Moose4:1
Head to head
- 12.04.2026Milwaukee Admirals — Iowa Wild2:1
- 25.02.2026Iowa Wild — Milwaukee Admirals2:1 OT
- 01.02.2026Iowa Wild — Milwaukee Admirals2:1 SO
- 31.01.2026Iowa Wild — Milwaukee Admirals3:2
- 25.01.2026Milwaukee Admirals — Iowa Wild4:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Utica Comets | 3 | 3 | +4 | 6 | 1.000 |
| 2 | Milwaukee Admirals | 2 | 2 | +5 | 4 | 1.000 |
| 3 | Manitoba Moose | 4 | 3 | +12 | 6 | .750 |
| 15 | San Diego Gulls | 4 | 2 | +2 | 5 | .625 |
| 16 | Iowa Wild | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .625 |
| 17 | Springfield Thunderbirds | 4 | 2 | -1 | 5 | .625 |
AHL on the same day
- Grand Rapids GriffinsManitoba Moosepreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
- Laval RocketSyracuse Crunchpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
- Toronto MarliesHamilton Hammerspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:26.2
- Rochester AmericansUtica Cometspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.4
- San Diego GullsCoachella Valley Firebirdspreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →