VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Kaluga — Chelmet Chelyabinsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Kaluga are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.0 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 26%.
Why
- Kaluga are more dangerous in attack: 2.3 expected goals against 1.7.
Facts
- League table: Kaluga — No. 4, 21 pts; Chelmet Chelyabinsk — No. 30, 8 pts. A gap of 13 pts.
- Chelmet Chelyabinsk: 3 defeats in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kaluga — Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 2.3–1.7 | |
| Kaluga to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 63% | |
| Chelmet Chelyabinsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 37% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 26% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 74% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Kaluga
- Kaluga goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10Magnitka Magnitogorsk3:1
- 12.10Orsk1:2 SO
- 07.10away · Perm3:1
- 05.10away · Toros Neftekamsk1:0
- 03.10away · Izhevsk3:1
- 14.10away · AKM2:4
- 12.10away · Ryazan0:8
- 04.10Bars3:4
- 02.10Almetyevsk4:2
- 30.09CSK VVS4:5 OT
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs | AKM | 15 | 9 | +13 | 21 |
| 4, Playoffs | Kaluga | 14 | 9 | +12 | 21 |
| 5, Playoffs | Omskie Krylia | 13 | 10 | +18 | 20 |
| 29 | Krasnoyarsk | 14 | 4 | -13 | 8 |
| 30 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 12 | 3 | -26 | 8 |
VHL on the same day
- 48522The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.3
- 48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →