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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK

Karlovy Vary — Kometa Brno

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Model prediction for 20 October

Karlovy Vary47%
Draw in regulation23%
Kometa Brno30%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Karlovy Vary are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 36%.

Why

  • Karlovy Vary are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 2.1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Karlovy Vary — Kometa Brno2.5–2.1
Karlovy Vary to win (incl. OT and shootout)59%
Kometa Brno to win (incl. OT and shootout)41%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)36%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)64%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Karlovy Vary
  • Karlovy Vary goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Karlovy Vary

  • 11.10Kladno3:1
  • 09.10away · Liberec0:5
  • 04.10Plzen4:1
  • 02.10away · Vitkovice3:0
  • 28.09away · Sparta Prague1:0

Kometa Brno

  • 11.10Plzen1:2 OT
  • 08.10away · Sparta Prague4:3 OT
  • 05.10away · Ceske Budejovice1:5
  • 02.10Mlada Boleslav3:2 SO
  • 27.09Pardubice3:5

Head to head

  • 04.03.2026Karlovy Vary — Kometa Brno3:2 OT
  • 04.01.2026Kometa Brno — Karlovy Vary2:3
  • 23.11.2025Karlovy Vary — Kometa Brno3:2
  • 05.10.2025Kometa Brno — Karlovy Vary3:1
  • 27.03.2025Karlovy Vary — Kometa Brno0:1

Full record: 18 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsPardubice11810247–31+1626
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsKarlovy Vary9600322–16+618
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsPlzen10331325–22+316
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLitvinov10311524–28-412
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKometa Brno9221425–28-311
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMlada Boleslav10211623–36-139

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • VitkoviceLiberec
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →