Vitkovice — Liberec
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 October
In short
Liberec are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.
Why
- Liberec are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vitkovice — Liberec | 2.4–2.9 | |
| Vitkovice to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 40% | |
| Liberec to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 60% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 47% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Vitkovice
- Vitkovice goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 11.10away · Sparta Prague0:3
- 09.10Pardubice2:3
- 04.10away · Mountfield HK2:3 OT
- 02.10Karlovy Vary0:3
- 29.09away · Olomouc4:3
- 11.10away · Ceske Budejovice3:4
- 09.10Karlovy Vary5:0
- 04.10away · Mlada Boleslav5:3
- 02.10Olomouc2:0
- 29.09away · Litvinov4:5 SO
Head to head
- 27.01.2026Liberec — Vitkovice6:2
- 23.12.2025Vitkovice — Liberec4:1
- 31.10.2025Liberec — Vitkovice2:3
- 23.09.2025Vitkovice — Liberec4:2
- 28.01.2025Vitkovice — Liberec4:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Sparta Prague | 10 | 4 | +3 | 14 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Liberec | 10 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Litvinov | 10 | 3 | -4 | 12 |
| 12, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Mlada Boleslav | 10 | 2 | -13 | 9 |
| 13 | Vitkovice | 9 | 2 | -11 | 7 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Olomouc | 10 | 1 | -18 | 5 |
Czech Extraliga on the same day
- 59411The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →