KHL · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

Khabarovsk — Salavat Ufa

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Model prediction for 17 October

Khabarovsk33%
Draw in regulation23%
Salavat Ufa44%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Salavat Ufa are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 36%.

Why

  • Salavat Ufa are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 2.2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Khabarovsk — Salavat Ufa2.2–2.5
Khabarovsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)43%
Salavat Ufa to win (incl. OT and shootout)57%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)36%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)64%

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Form

Khabarovsk

  • 12.10Lada1:0
  • 08.10away · Tractor Chelyabinsk2:0
  • 06.10away · Tractor Chelyabinsk2:1
  • 04.10away · Yekaterinburg3:0
  • 02.10away · Yekaterinburg0:3

Salavat Ufa

  • 12.10Niznekamsk4:3
  • 09.10away · Magnitogorsk1:7
  • 07.10away · Novosibirsk5:4 OT
  • 05.10away · CSKA Moscow1:3
  • 02.10Novosibirsk2:4

Head to head

  • 07.03.2026Khabarovsk — Salavat Ufa6:3
  • 05.03.2026Khabarovsk — Salavat Ufa1:4
  • 25.12.2025Salavat Ufa — Khabarovsk4:2
  • 23.12.2025Salavat Ufa — Khabarovsk2:4
  • 06.03.2025Khabarovsk — Salavat Ufa1:2 OT

Full record: 44 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceSKA St. Petersburg1481547–44+317
9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceKhabarovsk1481523–20+317
10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceSalavat Ufa1581646–47-117
11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceDinamo Minsk1565442–48-617

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →