Kazakhstan Hockey Championship · Thursday, 15 October, MSK
Kokshetau — Karaganda
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Close to a coin flip: Kokshetau 47%, Karaganda 53% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 6.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kokshetau — Karaganda | 2.5–2.7 | |
| Kokshetau to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Karaganda to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 47% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Kokshetau
- Kokshetau goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Nomad Astana2:4
- 10.10Nomad Astana3:2 OT
- 07.10away · Kulager4:3
- 06.10away · Kulager4:3
- 03.10Almaty3:2
- 11.10away · Kulager1:2 SO
- 10.10away · Kulager3:1
- 07.10away · Gornyak Rudny4:1
- 06.10away · Gornyak Rudny3:5
- 02.10Pavlodar9:0
Head to head
- 23.09.2026Karaganda — Kokshetau5:2
- 22.09.2026Karaganda — Kokshetau0:5
- 03.02.2026Karaganda — Kokshetau5:2
- 02.02.2026Karaganda — Kokshetau5:4
- 25.10.2025Karaganda — Kokshetau5:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs | Torpedo | 18 | 13 | +52 | 28 |
| 3, Playoffs | Kokshetau | 18 | 13 | +21 | 27 |
| 4, Playoffs | Gornyak Rudny | 18 | 12 | +27 | 25 |
| 5, Playoffs | Karaganda | 18 | 11 | +29 | 24 |
| 6, Playoffs | Kulager | 18 | 9 | +12 | 22 |
Kazakhstan Championship on the same day
- 01002The model's most likely outcome: 21%Model's score: 1:89.4
- 36642The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →