Kazakhstan Hockey Championship · Thursday, 15 October, MSK

Pavlodar — Torpedo

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Model prediction for 15 October

Pavlodar0%
Draw in regulation1%
Torpedo99%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Torpedo are clear favourites: 100% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects plenty of goals: 9.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 92%.

Why

  • Torpedo are more dangerous in attack: 8.2 expected goals against 1.1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Pavlodar — Torpedo1.1–8.2
Pavlodar to win (incl. OT and shootout)0%
Torpedo to win (incl. OT and shootout)100%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)92%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)8%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Pavlodar
  • Pavlodar goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Pavlodar

  • 12.10away · Torpedo0:8
  • 11.10away · Torpedo0:13
  • 08.10Aktobe0:6
  • 07.10Aktobe2:5
  • 02.10away · Karaganda0:9

Torpedo

  • 12.10Pavlodar8:0
  • 11.10Pavlodar13:0
  • 07.10Nomad Astana2:3 SO
  • 06.10Nomad Astana2:3 OT
  • 02.10away · Beibarys Atyrau9:2

Head to head

  • 12.10.2026Torpedo — Pavlodar8:0
  • 11.10.2026Torpedo — Pavlodar13:0
  • 30.01.2026Pavlodar — Torpedo1:16
  • 29.01.2026Pavlodar — Torpedo0:9
  • 23.12.2025Pavlodar — Torpedo0:8

Full record: 17 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, PlayoffsNomad Astana18162083–36+4734
2, PlayoffsTorpedo18132388–36+5228
3, PlayoffsKokshetau18131464–43+2127
9Beibarys Atyrau18321338–59-218
10Pavlodar18011719–140-1211

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Kazakhstan Championship on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 99% will not happen in roughly 1 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →