Pavlodar — Torpedo
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Torpedo are clear favourites: 100% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects plenty of goals: 9.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 92%.
Why
- Torpedo are more dangerous in attack: 8.2 expected goals against 1.1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Pavlodar — Torpedo | 1.1–8.2 | |
| Pavlodar to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 0% | |
| Torpedo to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 100% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 92% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 8% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Pavlodar
- Pavlodar goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 12.10away · Torpedo0:8
- 11.10away · Torpedo0:13
- 08.10Aktobe0:6
- 07.10Aktobe2:5
- 02.10away · Karaganda0:9
- 12.10Pavlodar8:0
- 11.10Pavlodar13:0
- 07.10Nomad Astana2:3 SO
- 06.10Nomad Astana2:3 OT
- 02.10away · Beibarys Atyrau9:2
Head to head
- 12.10.2026Torpedo — Pavlodar8:0
- 11.10.2026Torpedo — Pavlodar13:0
- 30.01.2026Pavlodar — Torpedo1:16
- 29.01.2026Pavlodar — Torpedo0:9
- 23.12.2025Pavlodar — Torpedo0:8
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs | Nomad Astana | 18 | 16 | +47 | 34 |
| 2, Playoffs | Torpedo | 18 | 13 | +52 | 28 |
| 3, Playoffs | Kokshetau | 18 | 13 | +21 | 27 |
| 9 | Beibarys Atyrau | 18 | 3 | -21 | 8 |
| 10 | Pavlodar | 18 | 0 | -121 | 1 |
Kazakhstan Championship on the same day
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.2
- 36642The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 99% will not happen in roughly 1 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →