Liiga (Finnish hockey league) · Saturday, 24 October, MSK

KooKoo — Jokerit

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Model prediction for 24 October

KooKoo64%
Draw in regulation18%
Jokerit18%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

KooKoo are clear favourites: 76% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.3).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.

Why

  • KooKoo are more dangerous in attack: 3.4 expected goals against 2.0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: KooKoo — Jokerit3.4–2.0
KooKoo to win (incl. OT and shootout)76%
Jokerit to win (incl. OT and shootout)24%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)50%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)50%

111 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap KooKoo
  • KooKoo goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

KooKoo

  • 10.10away · Hameenlinna3:5
  • 09.10Jukurit4:1
  • 03.10Pelicans3:6
  • 30.09away · Tappara0:3
  • 26.09Jukurit3:5

Jokerit

  • 10.10Ilves0:3
  • 08.10IFK Helsinki3:2 OT
  • 03.10away · SaiPa2:3
  • 02.10away · Tappara2:3 OT
  • 29.09Hameenlinna3:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
15, Relegation play-offVaasan Sport11312520–31-1113
16, Relegation play-offJokerit13212825–42-1710
17, RelegationKooKoo121011025–52-274

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Liiga on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.5
  • IlvesJukuritpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:14.7
  • JYPAssatpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.3
  • KarpatKalPapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.4
  • PelicansTapparapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.6
  • TPS TurkuLukkopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:34.8
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →