VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Kristall Saratov — Tambov
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Tambov are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects plenty of goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kristall Saratov — Tambov | 2.6–2.8 | |
| Kristall Saratov to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Tambov to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 49% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Kristall Saratov
- Kristall Saratov goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10away · Omskie Krylia1:7
- 07.10Dyn. Altay5:4 SO
- 05.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk0:2
- 03.10Krasnoyarsk3:2
- 01.10HC Norilsk2:3 SO
- 13.10away · Rubin Tyumen2:3 OT
- 11.10away · Kurgan3:0
- 09.10away · Omskie Krylia1:5
- 03.10Dyn. Altay2:0
- 01.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk3:0
Head to head
- 18.12.2025Kristall Saratov — Tambov1:4
- 16.11.2025Tambov — Kristall Saratov7:1
- 09.01.2025Tambov — Kristall Saratov4:5 OT
- 09.11.2024Kristall Saratov — Tambov2:3 OT
- 26.12.2023Tambov — Kristall Saratov8:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11, Playoffs | Perm | 12 | 8 | +7 | 16 |
| 12, Playoffs | Tambov | 13 | 7 | 0 | 16 |
| 13, Playoffs | Gornyak | 10 | 7 | +11 | 15 |
| 14, Playoffs | Bars | 14 | 7 | -9 | 15 |
| 15, Playoffs | Kristall Saratov | 12 | 7 | -10 | 15 |
| 16, Playoffs | Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 11 | 5 | +4 | 14 |
VHL on the same day
- Chelmet ChelyabinskKrasnoyarskpreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- GornyakHC Norilskpreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:15.1
- Magnitka MagnitogorskMetallurg Novokuznetskpreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.3
- OrskDyn. Altaypreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.1
- BarsAlmetyevskpreliminary36642The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →