KHL · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Lada — Shanghai
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Shanghai are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.
Why
- Shanghai are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lada — Shanghai | 2.4–2.7 | |
| Lada to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 43% | |
| Shanghai to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 57% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 45% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Lada
- Lada goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Khabarovsk0:1
- 10.10away · Vladivostok3:4 OT
- 05.10Shanghai0:5
- 02.10away · Avangard Omsk1:4
- 30.09away · Yekaterinburg1:3
- 12.10Dinamo Minsk2:3
- 07.10away · Dynamo Moscow3:2
- 05.10away · Lada5:0
- 03.10away · Cherepovets1:2 OT
- 30.09Magnitogorsk4:1
Head to head
- 05.10.2026Lada — Shanghai0:5
- 01.03.2026Lada — Shanghai1:2
- 05.01.2026Shanghai — Lada3:2
- 19.12.2025Shanghai — Lada2:4
- 26.09.2025Lada — Shanghai1:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 12 | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | SKA St. Petersburg | 14 | 8 | +3 | 17 |
| 21 | Sochi | 14 | 3 | -30 | 6 |
| 22 | Lada | 15 | 1 | -35 | 6 |
KHL on the same day
- Tractor ChelyabinskBars Kazanpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
- YekaterinburgCSKA Moscowpreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.2
- Lokomotiv YaroslavlDynamo Moscowpreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:13.9
- Spartak MoscowCherepovetspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →